About

Fernando Giannotti is a writer, economist, and comedian from Dayton, Ohio. He is a member of the comedy troupe '5 Barely Employable Guys.' He holds a B.A. in Economics and History and an M.S. in Finance from Vanderbilt University as well as a B.A. in the Liberal Arts from Hauss College. A self-labeled doctor of cryptozoology, he continues to live the gonzo-transcendentalist lifestyle and strives to live an examined life.

Tuesday, June 10, 2025

Rethinking National Debt: How the U.S. Can Preserve Monetary Policy While Becoming Functionally Debt-Free

 For decades, the size of the U.S. national debt has sparked political and economic concern. With federal debt surpassing $35 trillion, many policymakers and citizens alike fear the potential long-term consequences: higher interest payments, inflationary pressure, reduced fiscal flexibility, and the erosion of future economic stability. Yet paradoxically, the very instruments of U.S. debt—Treasury securities—are also essential to the Federal Reserve’s ability to conduct monetary policy and to the proper functioning of global financial markets.


This presents a strategic dilemma: how can the U.S. reduce its net debt burden without jeopardizing monetary stability? The answer lies not in eliminating Treasury securities altogether, but in reframing their purpose—issuing them not as a fiscal necessity, but as a monetary tool—while offsetting them with sovereign assets. Through this approach, the U.S. can become functionally debt-free while retaining its ability to manage the economy, ensure market liquidity, and maintain global financial leadership.


The Role of Treasuries in Monetary Policy

U.S. Treasury securities are more than instruments of government borrowing—they are foundational to the Federal Reserve’s conduct of monetary policy. The Fed uses open market operations (OMOs), primarily buying and selling Treasuries, to influence interest rates, control liquidity, and guide economic activity. Treasuries also serve as the backbone of the global collateral system, ensuring the smooth operation of repurchase agreements (repos), money markets, and interbank lending. Their safety, liquidity, and predictability make them indispensable.

If Treasuries were to disappear completely—as would occur if the national debt were entirely paid off—the Fed would lose its primary lever of macroeconomic control. Interest on reserves and reverse repos could take on a greater role, but they are not perfect substitutes for a deep and liquid Treasury market. Therefore, the elimination of all Treasuries would destabilize the monetary system, even as it might satisfy debt-reduction advocates.


A Dual Mandate: Maintain Liquidity, Reduce Net Debt

Instead of eliminating Treasuries, the U.S. should maintain a baseline supply strictly for monetary policy and market-functioning purposes, while offsetting them with sovereign assets. This would create a balanced national balance sheet—Treasury liabilities would be matched by productive or liquid national assets, rendering the country net debt-neutral or positive.

This is similar in spirit to how central banks manage their own balance sheets: liabilities (currency in circulation, reserves) are matched with assets (bonds, gold, foreign currency reserves). The U.S. government could adopt a similar structure at the sovereign level.


Offsetting Treasury Issuance with Sovereign Assets

To offset its outstanding Treasuries, the U.S. could establish and expand sovereign asset holdings such as:

A Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF): Modeled after Norway’s Government Pension Fund or Singapore’s Temasek, this fund could invest in diversified global equities, infrastructure, and innovation.

Strategic Reserves: Building and holding reserves of gold, rare earth metals, and energy resources as national assets.

Foreign Currency Reserves and Global Investments: Strengthening the balance sheet with liquid foreign assets to reduce vulnerability to currency shocks and external shocks.

Each dollar in sovereign assets would offset a dollar of Treasury liabilities, producing a net-zero debt position while preserving the Treasuries necessary for the Fed and financial markets to function.


Fiscal Discipline with Monetary Flexibility

By tying Treasury issuance to monetary policy needs rather than deficit spending, the U.S. can achieve greater fiscal discipline. Treasuries would no longer be an open-ended funding mechanism for political promises. Instead, they would serve their original purpose: stabilizing the economy.

This approach also insulates the U.S. from the risk of rising debt-service costs crowding out essential public investment. Future spending—on infrastructure, education, health care—would be funded from within a balanced, asset-backed fiscal framework. Treasury issuance would be maintained at a strategic threshold—sufficient to support open market operations, repo markets, and global dollar liquidity—but no more.


Geopolitical and Economic Benefits

Maintaining a robust but controlled Treasury market while offsetting liabilities with assets would also strengthen the U.S.'s global standing:

Preserve the dollar’s reserve currency status, by continuing to offer the world’s safest and most liquid government securities.

Attract global investment by signaling fiscal prudence paired with monetary sophistication.

Provide a model for sustainable sovereign finance in the 21st century.

Rather than being a relic of fiscal irresponsibility, Treasuries would become a strategic tool—deployed precisely, managed transparently, and backed by tangible national wealth.


Conclusion: The Best of Both Worlds

Calls to reduce the U.S. national debt are not misplaced—but eliminating Treasury securities entirely is a blunt and counterproductive goal. Instead, we should embrace a nuanced approach: maintain a sufficient supply of Treasuries to anchor monetary policy, while building a portfolio of sovereign assets that offsets those liabilities. In doing so, the U.S. can preserve the functionality of its monetary system, ensure financial market stability, and become effectively debt-free in real economic terms.

This model represents a sophisticated evolution of public finance—one that moves beyond the binary of "debt vs. no debt" toward a more intelligent balance between monetary necessity and fiscal sustainability.




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