A Blueprint for Renewing the Western Alliance
The Western alliance is often described today as a civilization in decline. According to one narrative, globalization has failed, the liberal international order is collapsing, NATO is weakening, and the democratic world is steadily losing ground to authoritarian powers. According to another, nothing fundamental has changed and today's political turmoil is simply a temporary disruption.
Both perspectives misunderstand the moment.
The Western alliance is neither collapsing nor standing still.
It is confronting the consequences of one of the most important strategic misjudgments of the post-Cold War era: confusing an aspiration with an achievement.
After the collapse of the Soviet Union, much of the democratic world came to believe that history had fundamentally changed. Liberal democracy had triumphed. Open markets had prevailed. Great-power competition appeared to be ending. Economic integration would gradually transform authoritarian states into liberal ones, while globalization would produce an increasingly peaceful and interconnected world.
This vision was never unreasonable.