About

Fernando Giannotti is a writer, economist, and comedian from Dayton, Ohio. He is a member of the comedy troupe '5 Barely Employable Guys.' He holds a B.A. in Economics and History and an M.S. in Finance from Vanderbilt University as well as a B.A. in the Liberal Arts from Hauss College. A self-labeled doctor of cryptozoology, he continues to live the gonzo-transcendentalist lifestyle and strives to live an examined life.

Sunday, July 27, 2014

Tax Structure

Tax Structure

In the future the United States will be constrained financially with paying down its considerable debt and paying increasing medical costs for retiring baby boomers.  In this new world of financial constraint, it will be important for the United States to be as efficient as possible with its resources.  Efficiency will be more important than quantity.  From my analysis, and I am not alone, the United States tax code leaves much to be desired.   In addition to being the longest document in human history, the United States tax code is very inefficient at utilizing the resources of the United States.  The current United States tax code and larger tax system is horribly inefficient for raising revenue, contributes to the lobbying phenomena of elected public servants, hinders the efficient allocation of capital, and is disadvantageous to those without a financial education and those who can afford financial counseling.  I believe to assuage these problems, the United States should move towards a tax system that utilizes a flat tax, both for income and corporate income.  The United States should also adopt a federal sales tax to be applied on top of state sales taxes as well.  The adoption of a combination flat tax and national sales tax will put the United States on found financial footing, will represent the most significant effort to contain lobbying in the modern era, make the tax system more accessible to citizens by reducing the financial education bias, and helps facilitate efficient allocation of capital.   
From an economic perspective, tax breaks to the extent that they are currently employed by the United States hurt the efficient allocation of capital in the US on a corporate and individual level.  If tax breaks influence the operations of a business or how a business spends its revenues, this creates a distortion.  A business should be making decisions based primarily on what is best for their business operations, not by saving money through certain tax loopholes.  If a business makes a decision on production methods based on a desired tax loophole and not on what is best for their overall operational efficiency, this business is making decisions counter to its nature.  These perverse incentives can lead businesses to invest too much or too little, to shift production to certain areas, and/or issue unneeded debt[1] all in the name of saving money from taxes.  These loopholes and tax breaks distort the normal business operations and allocation of capital.
On a personal income level, tax breaks can cause altered savings rates, consumption habits, and many other aspects as individuals choose to allocate their resources to more tax friendly areas and instruments.  From an economic perspective, these tax breaks create distortions in the normal flow of the market and affect the efficient allocation of capital by artificially pushing capital into other areas.  A flat corporate and personal income tax would eliminate these distortions and force people to make decisions less because of tax reasons and more on normal economic rational.
It is important to note that a tax break is, in absolute terms, equivalent to a subsidy payment for the amount of the tax break.  Either way, the firm or person has the amount of money specified and the government does not.  This has produced and fuelled lobbing efforts by wealthy individuals, corporations, and unions, amongst many others, to take advantage of our current malleable tax code.  These individuals and entities invest very heavily in lobbying firms and PACs in order to curry favor with elected officials.  A possible by product of excessive lobbying efforts could be the end result of elected public servants making decisions based more on large campaign contributions then than the needs of their constituents.  This creates a distortion in democracy in the US and contributes to the dysfunction within the government.  By removing these tax breaks (subsidies) from the US tax code, one removes financial incentives for lobbying and we can go a long way to reducing the influence of lobbyists, corporations, and wealthy individuals on our elected officials and the democratic process.  Also, a flat tax would eliminate any government favoritism for certain firms or industries through tax breaks.  Since there would be very few tax breaks, it would remove a vehicle from which corporations influence elected officials and decrease their power over the electoral process by eliminating their financial incentive to influence officials and the electoral process.
The tax code is littered with exceptions and conditions which are very difficult for the average person to interpret, much less understand to a degree to take advantage of them.  The United States tax code is the longest document in human history.  It is over 17,000 pages long.  It is huge and incredibly difficult to navigate sufficiently.  The size and complexity of the US tax code severs to disenfranchise those who are not financial sophisticated (through financial education or family knowledge) and those who cannot afford the services of a tax and/or finance professional.  Much is said about the unfairness of the tax code, favoring the wealthy, recently this criticism has come due to historically low top marginal rate that the highest income earners in the United States pay.  But the unfairness of the complexity of the tax code, which favors the wealthy, is not discussed as often or with the same amount of candor and seriousness.  Many wealthy citizens of the US have sophisticated knowledge of finance and the US tax code, which allows them to minimize their tax payments.  Or if a person is sufficiently wealthy they may hire a person with sophisticated finance and tax knowledge to help them take advantage of the tax code.  The uneducated, the reasonably educated, and the poor are at an inherit disadvantage with the current tax code.  Creating a flat tax for personal income would eliminate tax breaks and make the tax code much more manageable.  A few tax breaks could be kept, but the US could surly shrink the tax code down to a 12 to 15 page document, a length any high school graduate could navigate.  Without multiple tax breaks, a person could simply apply their income amount to the flat tax percentage and easily calculate their tax payment, again something any high school graduate could perform.
The US has the second highest corporate tax rate in the industrialized world.  When factoring in state corporate income tax rates on top of the national sales tax rate, the US has the highest corporate tax rates in the industrialized world.  Due to tax breaks in the current US tax code, there is much variety on what rate US corporations actually or effectively pay.[2]  No matter one’s political persuasions, it does not seem likely the US can be competitive in the world with US companies carrying such a high tax burden.  In the era of globalization with its ease of capital and human flows across borders, it is imperative that the US become an attractive place for companies to do business in all aspects, especially in regards to tax policy.  The US needs to be an attractive place for companies in order to retain the companies and their operations that are currently in the US but also to attract new companies operating outside the US to the US and to encourage new companies to be founded in the US.  A flat corporate tax would eliminate almost every tax break currently offered to US firms.  This would intern raise revenue the federal government collects.  The US could then in turn drastically lower the corporate tax rate to accommodate the new raise in revenues collected.  Given that current federal revenues from corporate income taxes amount to approximately 8% of total federal revenues, any fluctuation in revenue collected from the new flat tax corporate structure would have a very minimal impact on the federal budget.  Also on that same line of thinking, a 2% or 3% drop in revenue, as a percentage of the entire federal revenue total, from corporate taxes would be relative insignificant when compared to the benefits from creating a more competitive and encouraging business environment within the United States.  Perhaps the better and more competitive business environment within the US, as a result of lowered corporate tax rates, might spur greater business growth and thus higher tax revenues as a result of growing the amount of business done in the US or more colloquially, growing the size of the business pie instead of the percentage of the total of the slice.  Simply, creating a more business friendly environment should take precedence over any lost corporate tax revenue because the loss of revenue will undoubtedly be very minimal in regards to the overall US federal revenues.
Due to states having corporate income taxes as well, if a reduction in the federal corporate income tax was to be implemented, thought must be given to state tax rates as well.  A state in a less than desirable fiscal situation[3], might find it favorable to increase its corporate tax in conjunction with a lowered federal tax in order to raise more revenue for the state.  A state could justify this by raising their rate less than the drop in the federal rate, therefore proclaiming that the corporation is still better off than they were before.  This practice must be curtailed or the point of dropping the federal corporate tax rate will be for not.  Therefore a cap on state corporate income tax should somehow be imposed on states by the federal government.  This can be achieved either by creating a hard cap percentage number or by limiting state corporate income tax rates to a certain proportion of the federal.  The currently average US state corporate income tax rate is approximately 7.5%.  It would be suggested that the federal government cap the state rate around 7.5%.  If the federal government were to lower the corporate tax rate to 10%, a proportionate cap of ¾ of the federal level could be imposed for states as an example.
With a flat tax for personal income, a person who has a higher income would pay more in taxes than someone with a lower income, their payment would just be proportional to their income.  Many people would find this a more ‘fair’ tax policy, that everyone should pay the same proportion of their income and that a graduated income system penalized those who are successful.  This is admittedly a subjective argument, but one that will most likely resonate with many Americans.  A flat tax for personal income may also serve as a logical relief to the wealthy who have lost their educational and wealth advantage from the old (current US) tax code.
A Federal sales tax is very similar to a value-added tax.  A sales tax is a much more feasible option in the US because of the prevailing political climate in the US.  Given a large section of the US’s population aversion to anything considered to be even remotely related to socialism or government control it would be very difficult to get a value-added tax passed.  Many would see a value-added tax as creeping European socialism, since it is most commonly seen in widespread use in Europe.  However irrational this argument may be, it would carry much weight and prevent the adoption of a value-added tax in the United States.  Simply put, a value-added tax is unfamiliar to the American public and thus would face opposition, also due to its unfamiliarity, it would be considered foreign by many Americans.  A sales tax is a concept and terminology that is already in use in the US through state sales taxes.  This familiarity with and acceptance of the state sales tax would make the adoption of a national sales tax much easier.  It is much easier to argue for something on the national level that is already in place on the state level.
A national sales tax would further benefit those who save and consume less.  After the 2007 financial crisis, much was made of the negative attributes of Americans’ over consumption and incredibly low historical savings rates.[4]  By imposing a national sales tax on non-essential items, those who choose to spend more will pay more in taxes.  Those who utilize their income for mostly essential means such as food, transport, education, and other essentials (what most of the poor spend their limited means on) will pay less in taxes.  Those who over indulge on huge televisions, yachts, and luxury cars will pay more in taxes.  Those who save will pay less.  A national sales tax also means that the wealthy will pay more in taxes than the poor.  A 5% sales tax on a 100,000 dollar Mercedes is much more than a 5% sales tax on a 15,000 dollar Honda, a 5000 dollar to 750 dollar comparison.  As well, when the federal government derives revenue from a federal sales tax, they will be able to lower the flat tax rate to compensate.  This will further benefit those who save, since the flat tax rate is reduced and they pay less in income taxes because of the federal sales tax.
            Ultimately one must assign percentages to the various new tax rates.  It goes without saying that much research and intellect must be spent determining the appropriate percentages for these taxes.  Due to the difficulty in adopting a new tax at a national level where one of its kind did not previously exist, it would be better to keep the national sales tax at a lower level.  A suggestion of 2% to 5% would be appropriate for a national sales tax.  A national flat income tax rate could exist between 15% and 20%.  A corporate income tax rate of 10% would be advisable with a state rate capped at ¾ of the federal rate, creating an effective upper limit of the state rate at 7.5%, the current national average.  This would create a 17.5% max effective tax rate for US corporations.  Given that the current US federal tax rate is 35%, before any tax deductions, (without adding in state tax rates, which would make the average tax rate 42.5% before tax deductions) 17.5% would be very favorable and go a long way to creating a more encouraging environment for business in the US. 
            While the adoption of a flat tax and national sales tax will certainly not solve all of the tax related problems currently confronting the United States, it will provide the United States with a simpler more efficient tax system.  The combination of a flat tax and national sales tax is more efficient in raising revenues, removes major incentives for lobbying, removes a financial knowledge bias, may raise more money, and promotes economic growth over the current tax structure and system.  The ideas presented in this essay are not meant as a hard and fast plan that is immediately actionable.  They are meant to provoke thought and discussion on improving the current the United States tax code. 




[1] As Apple recently did with their debt offering.
[2] For example, in recent years Goldman Sachs paid a 33% tax rate while General Electric paid 0.5%.
[3] Such as California or Illinois to name just two of many.
[4] At one point before the financial crisis the US savings rate dipped below zero, it became negative.  

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